So, I decided to spend some time trying to figure out Lorenzo Sonego’s matches. Not in a super serious way, you know, just as a personal challenge, something to focus on when watching tennis. I always liked his energy on the court, that fire he has, so I thought, why not try and see if I can guess how his next match will go?

First thing I did was simply watch him more. Not just highlights, but full matches when I could catch them. You get a feel for a player that way, how they react under pressure, what shots they rely on. It’s different from just looking at stats.
Then, I figured I needed some basic info. Watching is one thing, but you need context. So, I started looking up his recent results. Simple stuff, really. Who did he play? Did he win or lose? What was the score? You start seeing patterns, or at least you think you do.
My Little Prediction Process
It wasn’t anything fancy, just me trying to piece things together. Here’s basically what I looked at before a Sonego match:
- Recent Form: Pretty obvious, right? Was he playing well in the last few tournaments, or was he in a slump? This seemed like the biggest starting point.
- The Surface: This felt important for Sonego. He seems to have his preferences, like many players. Clay courts versus hard courts versus grass – it definitely changes things. I tried to weigh that in.
- The Opponent: Who was he up against? What’s their rank? More importantly, what’s their style of play? Does it match up well or poorly against Sonego’s game? I also checked if they’d played before and what happened then, the head-to-head record.
- Tournament Context: Was it a big tournament or a smaller one? Early rounds or later stages? Sometimes that seemed to matter for motivation or pressure.
- Gut Feeling: Honestly, sometimes after looking at everything, it just came down to a feeling. Maybe I saw something in his last match, or just had a hunch. Not very scientific, I know!
I started jotting down my thoughts before his matches. Just simple notes, nothing complicated. My prediction and maybe a reason or two. It was interesting to go back and see where I went wrong, or right.
Was I successful? Well, let’s just say it’s a good thing I wasn’t betting my house on it! Tennis is incredibly hard to predict. Sonego, like many players, can have amazing days where he beats top guys, and other days where things just don’t click. Upsets happen all the time.
It was definitely harder than I initially thought. You look at the stats, the rankings, the surfaces, and you think you have a clear picture. Then the match starts, and everything goes out the window. A player might be feeling off, or the opponent just plays the match of their life. That’s sport, I guess.
But doing this whole exercise, even if my predictions weren’t always spot on, made watching his matches more engaging. I felt more invested, paid more attention to the details, the strategy. It wasn’t really about being right in the end, more about the process of trying to understand the game a bit better through the lens of one player. It was a fun little project, kept my mind busy.