Okay, folks, let’s dive into my little experiment with Mark Andrews’ fantasy outlook. I’m no expert, but I like to tinker, and I figured I’d share my process, warts and all.
So, I started by, you know, just thinking about it. Andrews is a beast, right? But he’s also coming off an injury. And the Ravens, they like to run the ball. A lot. My first step was pretty basic: I gotta figure out if this guy is even gonna be healthy.
I started digging around. I checked out some injury reports, read some articles – nothing fancy, just the usual spots. It seemed like, yeah, he’s on track, looking good. But, you know, “on track” doesn’t always mean 100%. That’s step one, still feeling the waters.
Next step, Baltimore’s Game Plan.
Then,I figured I gotta look at what the Ravens are gonna do. I mean, a tight end can’t score points if he’s always blocking, right? So I went and started observing some games, I watched game replays and took some notes.
- They’ve got Lamar, who’s a running machine.
- They brought in a new offensive coordinator.
- They drafted another good reciever.
I’m thinking, “Okay, is this new coordinator gonna use Andrews more? Or is he gonna be stuck blocking all day?” I couldn’t get a straight answer. I read a bunch of stuff, some folks said he’d be used, some said maybe not so much. Classic internet, huh?
I went and pulled up some stats. Last year’s targets, receptions, touchdowns – all that good stuff. I even went back a few years, just to see if there was a pattern. Honestly, it was a bit of a mess. Up and down, depending on the game, the opponent, who knows what else. My conclusion here? Inconclusive. Surprise!
Next, I got down to the nitty-gritty, trying to put some numbers to all of this. I’m no mathematician, but I figured I’d try a real simple projection. I took his average targets from the last couple of healthy seasons, knocked it down a bit because, well, uncertainty, and then guessed at his catch rate and yards per catch. It’s all guesswork, really.
I used this very basic approach to make a little calculation about touchdown, you know? It felt more like throwing darts than real science, to be frank.
Finally, I compared my super-scientific projection to what some of the “experts” were saying. Turns out, I was kinda in the ballpark. Some were higher, some were lower, but nobody seemed to really know for sure. Which, honestly, made me feel a little better about my own messy process.
So, after doing all this, what’s my grand conclusion? Andrews is still a top-tier tight end, probably. But there are enough question marks – the injury, the new coordinator, the Ravens’ run-heavy style – that I’m not gonna, like, bet my house on him. I’ll draft him if the price is right, but I’m not reaching. That’s my two cents, anyway. Hope this rambling mess of a process helps someone out there!
