Okay, so I’ve been messing around with this “Fritz Musetti prediction” thing, and let me tell you, it’s been a bit of a rollercoaster. I’m no expert, just a guy who likes to tinker, so don’t expect any fancy jargon here.
Getting Started
First, I had to figure out what this whole Fritz Musetti thing even was. Turns out, it’s about predicting, I guess, tennis matches? Or something related to this tennis player, Fritz Musetti. I’m not a huge sports guy, but hey, prediction is prediction, right?
The Deep Dive (or, My Struggle)
I started poking around, trying to find some data. That was step one. Found some websites that seemed relevant, with scores and stats and all that. I’m not great with data, just copied it into a spreadsheet.
- Copied and pasted a bunch of numbers. No idea what half of them meant.
- Felt like I was drowning in numbers. Seriously.
Trying Stuff Out
I figured I needed some kind of, you know, method. Tried a few things, completely guessing at first:
- Simple Average: Averaged some past scores. Seemed too basic.
- Moving Averages: Then I remembered I had some time series data, so I added some basic moving averages of 3 periods and 5 periods.
Feeling Lost (and Found?)
Honestly, most of the time I felt pretty lost. I kept tweaking my spreadsheet, changing formulas, staring at the results, and hoping something would magically make sense. Slowly, I add a prediction column, and use all the data that I have. The prediction looked more and more reasonable.
My “Results”
After a lot of trial and error (mostly error),I have make some sense with my * numbers are not perfect, and the win/lose prediction is around 60%.
So, that’s where I’m at. It’s not perfect, it’s probably not even good, but it’s something. And hey, I learned a few things along the way, even if it was just how much I don’t know about tennis or advanced prediction models. Maybe I’ll keep messing with it, maybe I’ll move on to something else. Who knows! That’s the fun of these little projects, right?
