Okay, so, I’ve been digging into this whole NFL weather thing for Week 3, and let me tell you, it’s been a bit of a journey. I’m not a meteorologist or anything, just a guy who likes football and thought it would be cool to see how the weather might mess with the games. Here’s how I went about it.
First off, I started looking for weather reports, and some basic info about how weather affects games. I’m just reading these articles and there are different data and reports. I just tried to find some common points.
Then, I tried to match up those forecasts with each game scheduled for Week 3. I figured, if it’s gonna be pouring rain in, say, Miami, that’s gotta have some kind of impact, right?
After that, I started thinking about what this all means for the game. It seems like rain and wind are the biggest factors. From what I gather, good weather usually means more points. But here’s a twist: rain might actually help out the home team in terms of the score difference. One of the articles I read even said rain could give a significant advantage to the home team. It mentioned a 3.72 positive effect on the score differential, which sounds pretty big.
My Rough Notes
Here’s a bit of what I jotted down, just to give you an idea:
- Good Weather: More points overall, but might not be great for the home team’s score difference.
- Rain: Could really help out the home team, especially in terms of how much they win or lose by.
- Week 3 Outlook: Some places might get rain, and others might be clear. It’s a mixed bag.
Then I tried to see whether the weather has any impact on the fantasy score, but I found it is really hard to predict. It seems like the main point of those articles is to remind people to check the weather report before making decisions.
So, that’s pretty much my process. I started with curiosity, did some reading, tried to make sense of it, and ended up with a few notes. It’s not exactly scientific, but it was a fun little project. I guess the big takeaway here is that weather can definitely play a role in how NFL games turn out, especially if it’s raining. And for anyone playing fantasy football, it sounds like checking the weather report is a smart move. I will keep updating my notes and see what will happen in later weeks.
